282
ACUS11 KWNS 012257
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012257
MDZ000-WVZ000-VAZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-020030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0324
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0557 PM CDT WED APR 01 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE/UPPER OHIO VALLEY
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85...
VALID 012257Z - 020030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING
ACROSS WW0085, BUT AT LEAST SOME RISK FOR STRONG TO OCCASIONALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL IS EXPECTED FOR ANOTHER
HOUR OR SO.
DISCUSSION...ONGOING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN WW85 IS NOTED
ALONG/NEAR THE OHIO RIVER. EXPECTATION IS FOR THIS ACTIVITY TO
GRADUALLY WEAKEN WITH TIME THIS EVENING AS NOCTURNAL BOUNDARY LAYER
STABILIZATION INCREASES LOW-LEVEL INHIBITION. HOWEVER, 500-1000 J/KG
MLCAPE AND AROUND 30 KTS OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR (PER LATEST
MESOANALYSIS) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST SOME THREAT FOR
STRONG TO OCCASIONALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL OVER
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. THE GREATEST SHORT TERM RISK APPEARS TO BE
ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONGER STORM CLUSTER CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS
NORTHWESTERN WEST VIRGINIA. A NEW WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME; HOWEVER, A LOCAL EXTENSION MAY BE NEEDED SHOULD A STRONGER
STORM OR TWO PERSIST PAST THE SCHEDULED EXPIRATION OF WW85 AT 00Z.
..CHALMERS.. 04/01/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...
LAT...LON 37888179 37838289 37928356 38098396 38228404 38418392
38698318 39188187 39478091 39688019 39707917 39507897
38877920 38537943 38297986 38108050 37888179
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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