774
ACUS11 KWNS 020009
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020009
OKZ000-KSZ000-020215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0325
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0709 PM CDT WED APR 01 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO FAR SOUTHEASTERN KS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 86...
VALID 020009Z - 020215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 86 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERE RISK SHOULD INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, WITH
THE PRIMARY CONCERNS BEING A COUPLE TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS.
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS EVOLVING ALONG/SOUTH OF THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY IN NORTH-CENTRAL OK ARE SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
CONTRACTION INTO MORE INTENSE CELLS WITH SUPERCELLULAR
CHARACTERISTICS DURING THE LAST 30 MINUTE OR SO. THESE STORMS SHOULD
MAINTAIN RESIDENCE TIME WITHIN THE WARM/MOIST WARM SECTOR (MIDDLE
60S DEWPOINTS) SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, GIVEN
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY DEEP-LAYER SHEAR VECTORS/STORM MOTIONS. AROUND 40
TO 50 KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH
SIZE/CURVATURE (UPWARDS OF 200 M2/S2 EFFECTIVE SRH) WITH THE
STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET SHOULD PROMOTE SUPERCELL CLUSTERS --
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A COUPLE TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
..WEINMAN.. 04/02/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...
LAT...LON 36439577 35869637 35639702 35699753 35909779 36119767
37169662 37309623 37289581 37079555 36839556 36439577
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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