220
ACUS11 KWNS 020318
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020318
OKZ000-TXZ000-020515-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0328
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1018 PM CDT WED APR 01 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHERN TEXAS
CONCERNING...TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES 86...88...
VALID 020318Z - 020515Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCHES 86, 88 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF
TORNADO WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD TONIGHT. THE NEED FOR A DOWNSTREAM
WATCH IS UNCERTAIN, THOUGH CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED.
DISCUSSION...A NORTH/SOUTH-ORIENTED LINE OF STORMS IS TRACKING
EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL OK AND NORTH TX, WHICH CONTINUES TO POSE A
RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO. AS
STORMS CONTINUE EASTWARD TONIGHT, INCREASING NOCTURNAL STATIC
STABILITY LIMITS CONFIDENCE IN AN APPRECIABLE SEVERE RISK. HOWEVER,
GIVEN AT LEAST WEAK SURFACE-BASED PRE-CONVECTIVE BUOYANCY AND A
50-KT LOW-LEVEL JET (PER FWS, TLX, AND INX VWPS), THERE WILL BE SOME
CONTINUED RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF
TORNADO (ESPECIALLY IN THE NEAR TERM). IT IS UNCLEAR IF A DOWNSTREAM
WATCH IS NEEDED, THOUGH CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED.
..WEINMAN/LEITMAN.. 04/02/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...
LAT...LON 32729989 33859835 34479787 35709721 36249662 36479627
36729561 36729511 36509476 36179467 35059538 33839639
32769752 32299831 32129889 32069946 32179976 32439996
32729989
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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