037
ACUS11 KWNS 020409
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020408
TXZ000-020545-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0329
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1108 PM CDT WED APR 01 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 88...
VALID 020408Z - 020545Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 88
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE SEVERE WIND RISK CONTINUES IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH #88. A DOWNSTREAM WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED, THOUGH
TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED.
DISCUSSION...A SMALL BOWING THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX HAS EVOLVED
NORTHEAST OF SAN ANGELO, ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN EDGE OF REMAINING
SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY. AROUND 40 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR (PER SJT VWP)
ORIENTED PERPENDICULAR TO THE GUST FRONT OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO IN SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH #88 -- WITH AN ASSOCIATED RISK OF SEVERE WIND
GUSTS. HOWEVER, THESE STORMS WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EASTWARD INTO AN
AREA OF WEAKER BUOYANCY AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL INHIBITION. CURRENT
THINKING IS THAT THIS WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND.
THEREFORE, A DOWNSTREAM WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED, THOUGH
CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED.
..WEINMAN.. 04/02/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 30770176 31030150 31400069 32529953 32779924 32819881
32579863 32009872 30969958 30310094 30370171 30770176
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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