520
ACUS11 KWNS 040131
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040131
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-040300-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0348
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0831 PM CDT FRI APR 03 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 93...
VALID 040131Z - 040300Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 93
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERAL DISCRETE/SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO POSE
A THREAT FOR LARGE/VERY LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND A
TORNADO OR TWO, WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
DISCUSSION...DISCRETE/SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS HAVE PERSISTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN/CENTRAL OKLAHOMA OVER THE PAST 1-2 HOURS,
WITH SEVERAL INSTANCES OF 2+ INCH HAIL REPORTED ACROSS KIOWA COUNTY,
OKLAHOMA. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR LARGE/VERY
LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF WW93 OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. THE GREATEST RISK FOR SEVERE, INCLUDING THE
POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO, WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA, WHERE BACKING SURFACE WINDS AND INCREASINGLY
CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS (~200 M2/S2 0-500 M SRH) HAVE BEEN NOTED
OVER THE PAST 30-60 MINUTES PER THE OUN VWP. FARTHER NORTHEAST,
CONVECTION ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS/NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA,
CONVECTION HAS SHOWN SOME SIGNS OF WEAKENING, BUT AT LEAST SOME
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE HAIL CONTINUES TO LINGER WITH MORE INTENSE
CORES.
UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A MORE LINEAR STORM MODE IS STILL EXPECTED ALONG
THE COLD FRONT WITH TIME, WHICH WILL BRING A TRANSITION TOWARD
SEVERE WIND GUSTS AS THE PRIMARY THREAT. IT REMAINS UNCERTAIN
WHETHER A LOCAL EXTENSION IN TIME OF WW93 OR A NEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED TO COVER THE LINGERING SEVERE RISK
THIS EVENING AND PERHAPS INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
..CHALMERS.. 04/04/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...
LAT...LON 34719963 34909947 35319869 35889752 36339670 37099597
37629562 38109537 38359504 38299440 37869416 36879434
35919510 34759622 34479746 34379844 34409936 34539958
34719963
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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