052
ACUS11 KWNS 040342
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040341
OKZ000-040445-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0351
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1041 PM CDT FRI APR 03 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH-CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 95...
VALID 040341Z - 040445Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 95
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A SUPERCELL TORNADO RISK HAS SEEMINGLY EVOLVED AND WILL
PROBABLY CONTINUE UNTIL OUTFLOW FROM THE SEVERE CLUSTER TO ITS NORTH
UNDERCUTS IT.
DISCUSSION...A RECENTLY DEVELOPED SUPERCELL IN PONTOTOC COUNTY WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE UNIMPEDED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST WITHIN A MOIST,
ADEQUATELY UNSTABLE, AND APPRECIABLY STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
ALTHOUGH CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AS
TEMPERATURES SLOWLY COOL, THE ESTABLISHED SUPERCELL MAY CONTINUE TO
INGEST SURFACE-BASED AIR UNTIL THE COLD POOL FROM THE LARGER CLUSTER
TO ITS NORTH, UNDERCUTS AND EFFECTIVELY PINCHES OFF WARM/UNSTABLE
INFLOW. IN THE MEANTIME, A TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH
DAMAGING GUSTS AND POSSIBLY MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.
..SMITH.. 04/04/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...
LAT...LON 34709697 34839683 35039579 34959554 34699557 34629584
34549683 34709697
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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