924
ACUS11 KWNS 040958
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040958
ARZ000-OKZ000-041100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0356
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0458 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ARKANSAS INTO FAR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 95...96...
VALID 040958Z - 041100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 95, 96
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...STRONG TO LOCALLY DAMAGING GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE. A
DOWNSTREAM WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS TRACKING EASTWARD ALONG A COLD
FRONT/LARGE-SCALE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IN AR AND FAR SOUTHEASTERN OK HAS
DECREASED IN INTENSITY OVER THE LAST HOUR AS IT MOVES EASTWARD INTO
WEAKER SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY AND LIMITED LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR
ASCENT. NEVERTHELESS, THE ESTABLISHED COLD POOL AND 40-KT FLOW IN
THE LOWEST 1 KM AGL (PER LZK VWP) WILL STILL SUPPORT STRONG TO
LOCALLY DAMAGING GUSTS, GIVEN WEAKLY UNSTABLE SURFACE-BASED INFLOW.
CURRENT EXPECTATION IS FOR A CONTINUED WEAKENING TREND WITH EASTWARD
EXTENT, AND A DOWNSTREAM WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.
..WEINMAN/GUYER.. 04/04/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...
LAT...LON 34699496 34839452 34889371 35109309 35839269 36129224
36349184 36339145 36139131 35679137 35059176 34599231
34219385 34199464 34319496 34699496
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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