441
FNUS21 KWNS 041527
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1026 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2026
VALID 041700Z - 051200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. AS WAS PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED, RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF TEXAS YESTERDAY AND LAST NIGHT
HAS DAMPENED ANY FIRE WEATHER THREAT THERE TODAY. FARTHER WEST OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA, THE
DURATION, COVERAGE, AND MAGNITUDE OF SURFACE WIND IS LIKELY TO
REMAIN BELOW ELEVATED THRESHOLDS ACCORDING TO THE LATEST FORECAST
GUIDANCE. SEE BELOW FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.
..STEARNS.. 04/04/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0112 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A POTENT MID-LEVEL TROUGH AND ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW WILL PROGRESS
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION TODAY, WITH UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGING BUILDING ACROSS THE WEST. A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL
PROGRESS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI/OHIO RIVER
VALLEYS AND SOUTHERN TEXAS, WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE
GREAT PLAINS. COOLER TEMPERATURES AND IMPROVING MINIMUM RH VALUES
ARE EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE WIDESPREAD FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
...PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS ROLLINGS PLAINS INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
AND SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA...
HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DEPICT THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FROM PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS
ROLLING PLAINS INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO/SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA WHERE
SUSTAINED NORTHEASTERLY TO EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS AROUND 15 MPH MAY
BRIEFLY OVERLAP REDUCED RH BELOW 20%. THE BEST CHANCE FOR LOCALLY
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEARS TO BE ACROSS THE LOWLAND
DESERT OF SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE SAN SIMON VALLEY OF
SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA WHERE TERRAIN EFFECTS MAY LOCALLY ENHANCE
SUSTAINED WINDS AMID LOW RH VALUES OF 15-20%. UNCERTAINTY IN THE
DURATION AND AREAL EXTENT OF WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH PRECLUDES THE
ADDITION OF ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS AT THIS TIME.
FARTHER EAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS ROLLING PLAINS, RECENT AND
ONGOING PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT WIDESPREAD FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS. LOCALLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR AREAS
THAT DID NOT SEE APPRECIABLE RAINFALL ACCUMULATION OVER THE LAST 48
HOURS, HOWEVER.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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