293
ACUS11 KWNS 061733
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061733
FLZ000-061930-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0364
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1233 PM CDT MON APR 06 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 061733Z - 061930Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...SCATTERED STORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL FLORIDA
OVER THE NEW FEW HOURS. LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS SMALL
HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION...SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT CUTTING ACROSS THE
FL PENINSULA, ROUGHLY FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA ACROSS ORLANDO AND
ACROSS THE CAPE. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONFIRMS SUBSTANTIAL
TOWERING CU DEVELOPING ALONG THIS BOUNDARY, AND WHERE THE SEA BREEZE
INTERSECTS IT. MEANWHILE, STRONG HEATING CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE
THE AIR MASS, WHICH CONSISTS OF UPPER 60S F TO NEAR 70 F DEWPOINTS.
WHILE WIND FIELDS AND SHEAR ARE RELATIVELY WEAK ALOFT, MODERATE
INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT INITIALLY ROBUST UPDRAFTS ALONG THE
AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARIES. CELLS MAY TEND TO PROPAGATE IN A
SOUTHEASTWARD DIRECTION AS OUTFLOW IS PRODUCED, AND SOME OF THE
GUSTS/DOWNBURSTS COULD BE LOCALLY STRONG. TEMPERATURES AT 500 MB
NEAR 10 C ALONG THE FAVORABLE/PEAK HEATING MAY SUPPORT MOSTLY SMALL
HAIL IN THE STRONGEST CORES.
..JEWELL/GLEASON.. 04/06/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 28288153 28818071 28578049 28338052 27968048 27108230
27408246 27878264 28058254 28148190 28288153
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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