914
FNUS22 KWNS 071950
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0250 PM CDT TUE APR 07 2026
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL/EASTERN
GEORGIA AND SOUTHWEST SOUTH CAROLINA...
A CRITICAL RISK AREA WAS ADDED OVER SOUTHWEST SOUTH CAROLINA AND
INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL AND EASTERN GEORGIA. A CORRIDOR OF STRONG
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 15-20 MPH COMBINED WITH AFTERNOON RHS BELOW
25% WILL IMPACT THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA. WHILE LESS LIKELY, IT'S WORTH
NOTING THAT SOME FORECAST MODEL GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING VERY DRY
AFTERNOON RHS BELOW 20% ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA. THE
ELEVATED AREA WAS ALSO EXPANDED ACROSS NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA WHERE
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON RHS UNDER
30-35%. WITH FEW EXCEPTIONS OVER THE EXPANDED AREA OF THE ELEVATED
RISK, RECENT RAINFALL HAS OVERALL BEEN RELATIVELY MINIMAL.
AS WAS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FOR THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS,
LOCALLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THIS
REGION WHERE ENHANCED BY DOWNSLOPE FLOW CONDITIONS. THIS IS
ESPECIALLY TRUE IN SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA, SOUTHERN WYOMING, AND
EASTERN COLORADO. HOWEVER, THE COMBINATION OF WIND, RH, AND FUELS IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW ELEVATED THRESHOLDS THROUGH MUCH OF
THE AFTERNOON.
..STEARNS.. 04/07/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0215 AM CDT TUE APR 07 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ON
D2/WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PROGRESSES EASTWARD ALONG THE
CANADIAN BORDER. A CLOSED UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL SIMULTANEOUSLY
APPROACH THE CALIFORNIA COASTLINE. AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT WILL
PROGRESS SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS WHILE A
SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC.
..PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA INTO WESTERN GEORGIA
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST. SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS OF 10-15 MPH ARE FORECAST TO OVERLAP REDUCED RH OF 25-35%
DURING PEAK MIXING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WITH DRY, RECEPTIVE FUELS IN
PLACE ACROSS THE AREA, THIS IS EXPECTED TO PROMOTE ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS FROM SOUTHWESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA INTO PORTIONS OF
WESTERN GEORGIA. LATEST HIGH-RES GUIDANCE INDICATES SOME POTENTIAL
FOR LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN GEORGIA;
HOWEVER, CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN WITHHELD AT THIS TIME DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING COVERAGE AND DURATION OF SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS OF 15+ MPH. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR FUTURE
ISSUANCES.
..PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL FAVOR
LEE TROUGHING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
THIS IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT A WEAK DOWNSLOPE WIND REGIME FOR
D2/WEDNESDAY. WHILE MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE FORECAST IN THE 10-15%
RANGE, LATEST GUIDANCE INDICATES SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN
LESS THAN 15 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. THUS, WIDESPREAD
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
LOCALLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN GAP FLOW AND OTHER
FAVORABLE AREAS FOR TERRAIN ENHANCED WINDS, HOWEVER.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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