583
FNUS22 KWNS 080718
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0217 AM CDT WED APR 08 2026
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
..SYNOPSIS
LARGELY ZONAL FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE ROCKIES ON
D2/THURSDAY AS A CLOSED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES THE CALIFORNIA
COASTLINE AND A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATES THROUGH THE
NORTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION. AT THE SURFACE, WEAK LOW PRESSURE
CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO, WITH A
TRAILING DRYLINE EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
AND A COLD FRONT EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT
PLAINS.
..PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO FALL TO 10-20% ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AMID PEAK
MIXING. LATEST HIGH-RES GUIDANCE ALSO SUGGESTS THAT A TIGHTENED
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL FAVOR SUSTAINED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH ACROSS THIS REGION. WITH DRY, RECEPTIVE FUELS IN
PLACE ACROSS THE REGION, THIS COMBINATION OF WINDS/RH IS EXPECTED TO
PROMOTE A FEW HOURS OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO, EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO,
THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE, AND THE NORTHWESTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE.
INCREASED MID-LEVEL MOISTURE ATOP DEEP, DRY BOUNDARY LAYERS
(FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST BOUNDARY LAYERS MAY EXTEND UP TO ~500 MB
OR 3-4 KM AGL), MAY ALSO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED,
HIGH-BASED CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION. WITH PWATS ON THE ORDER OF
HALF AN INCH OR LESS, LITTLE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED, BUT
OUTFLOW/WIND GUSTS FROM THIS CONVECTION MAY LOCALLY AUGMENT SURFACE
WINDS SPEEDS. WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATING THE PRESENCE OF
50-100 J/KG MUCAPE ATOP THE BOUNDARY LAYER, AN OCCASIONAL DRY
LIGHTNING STRIKE MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS AREA. CONFIDENCE
IN THE COVERAGE OF POTENTIAL DRY THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS LOW AT THIS
TIME, BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR FUTURE OUTLOOK ISSUANCES.
..PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN/SOUTHWEST
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 10-20 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO OVERLAP LOW RH OF
15-20% ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHWEST.
THESE FACTORS MAY GENERATE LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON; HOWEVER, RECENT COOLER WEATHER, PRECIPITATION,
AND RESULTANT MARGINAL FUELS ARE EXPECTED TO TEMPER WIDESPREAD FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.
..CHALMERS.. 04/08/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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