882
FNUS22 KWNS 091910
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0209 PM CDT THU APR 09 2026
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
..AFTERNOON UPDATE
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. IN EASTERN UT AND
WESTERN CO, SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH ON DAY
1/THURSDAY WILL PROMOTE SHORT-TERM FUEL PRECONDITIONING FOR ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON DAY 2/FRIDAY. WHILE MID AND HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE RISK AREA THROUGHOUT THE
DAY, VERY LOW RH OF LESS THAN 15 PERCENT AND SOUTHERLY WINDS OF
15-25 MPH (GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH) ATOP DRY FUELS WILL MAINTAIN BROADER
FIRE CONCERNS.
FARTHER EAST, PORTIONS OF NORTHERN KY AND SOUTHERN OH MAY EXPERIENCE
LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR A FEW AFTERNOON HOURS.
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT, WESTERLY SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP
TO 10 MPH (GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH) COMBINED WITH RH DROPPING TO NEAR 35
PERCENT ARE EXPECTED TO OVERLAP A REGION OF DRYING AND POTENTIALLY
RECEPTIVE FUELS. ERCS IN NORTHERN KY ARE APPROACHING THE 97TH
PERCENTILE AS 10-HR AND 100-HR FUEL MOISTURES ARE FORECAST TO BE
WITHIN THE 10TH PERCENTILE. WHILE WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH
WITH THE LATE AFTERNOON COLD FRONT ARRIVAL, INCREASING MOISTURE AND
DECREASING WIND SPEEDS INTO THE EVENING HOURS SHOULD PROVIDE SOME
RELIEF TO THE FIRE ENVIRONMENT, PRECLUDING THE INTRODUCTION OF
ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA/STEARNS.. 04/09/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0141 AM CDT THU APR 09 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES THE CALIFORNIA COAST ON
D2/FRIDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH TRAVERSES THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE
NORTHEAST. SIMULTANEOUSLY, UPPER RIDGING WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
ROCKIES AND EASTERN GREAT BASIN, WITH ZONAL FLOW CONTINUING ACROSS
THE GREAT PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE, A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND NORTHEAST
WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST.
..PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN
A TIGHTENED SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL FAVOR SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY
WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN/SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN
ON D2/FRIDAY. DESPITE SOME MID/HIGH CLOUD COVER, RH VALUES ARE
FORECAST TO FALL TO 15-20% (LOCALLY DOWN TO 10%) DURING PEAK MIXING
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WITH PRECONDITIONED, DRYING FUELS FROM
D1/THURSDAY, THIS COMBINATION OF WINDS AND RH IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN UTAH INTO
WEST-CENTRAL/NORTHWESTERN COLORADO. DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING AND
MODESTLY STRONG MID-LEVEL FLOW (25-35 KTS WITHIN THE 700-500 MB
LAYER) WILL ALSO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35
MPH ACROSS THIS REGION. EXPECTED PRECIPITATION ARRIVAL ON SATURDAY
MAY PROVIDE RELIEF TO ANY ONGOING OR NEW FIRE STARTS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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