654
ACUS11 KWNS 120714
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120714
TXZ000-120915-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0386
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND NORTH TEXAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 101...
VALID 120714Z - 120915Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 101
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND POTENTIAL FOR
A TORNADO OR TWO WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS PARTS
OF CENTRAL AND NORTH TEXAS.
DISCUSSION...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING ACROSS
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY. AHEAD OF THE LINE, A
MOIST AIRMASS IS IN PLACE WITH SURFACE DEWPOINT IN THE MID 60S F.
THE RAP HAS WEAK INSTABILITY OVER THIS MOIST AIRMASS, WITH MLCAPE
GENERALLY AROUND 500 J/KG. THE LINE IS MOVING TOWARDS AN AXIS OF
STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW, IN WHICH SHORT-TERM MODEL FORECASTS CONTINUE
TO STRENGTHEN LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THIS MORNING. IN RESPONSE,
SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL GRADUALLY RISE, AS A 50 KNOT SPEED MAX AT 850
MB DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE ONGOING LINE OF STORMS. THIS SHOULD HELP
MAINTAIN A SEVERE THREAT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ISOLATED SEVERE
WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE, MAINLY
WITH ROTATING ELEMENTS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE.
..BROYLES.. 04/12/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...
LAT...LON 32309732 31659725 30919731 30389754 30299782 30309819
30389833 30529842 30719837 31169828 31639820 32399829
32769834 33109825 33229798 33159761 32629740 32309732
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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