933
ACUS11 KWNS 122300
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122300
MNZ000-130000-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0393
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0600 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST MINNESOTA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 122300Z - 130000Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A SMALL WINDOW FOR LARGE HAIL, WIND DAMAGE AND POSSIBLY A
BRIEF TORNADO, BEFORE STORMS CROSS OVER INTO THE COOL AIR AND
WEAKEN.
DISCUSSION...A SMALL CLUSTER OF STORMS HAS INTENSIFIED GRADUALLY
NEAR THE SURFACE TRIPLE POINT TO THE NORTHWEST OF DULUTH. THIS
CLUSTER IS LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHWEST EDGE OF THE REMAINING
WARM/MOIST SECTOR, AND IMMEDIATELY WEST OF SLOW-MOVING LAKE BREEZE.
THERE WILL BE A NARROW WINDOW WHERE THE ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT
SUPERCELLS WITH A LOW RISK OF ALL HAZARDS, BUT THE THREAT WILL BE
CONSTRAINED TO LARGE HAIL ONCE THE STORM BECOMES ELEVATED TO THE
COOL SIDE OF THE LAKE BREEZE. GIVEN THE SMALL AREA IN TIME AND
SPACE, A WATCH DOES NOT APPEAR NECESSARY.
..THOMPSON/HART.. 04/12/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...DLH...
LAT...LON 47129163 46979220 46999258 47199271 47319262 47489250
47579214 47659173 47539146 47319142 47129163
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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