230
FNUS22 KWNS 132000
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0259 PM CDT MON APR 13 2026
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
CORRECTED HEADLINE
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND ADJACENT
HIGH PLAINS...
..SOUTHEAST COLORADO
CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN EXPANDED SLIGHTLY NORTH TO ACCOUNT FOR
A BROADER CORRIDOR OF STRONGER WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND VERY LOW
RH OF NEAR 10 PERCENT AHEAD OF AN INCOMING COLD FRONT. WITH SPOTTY
HIGH CLOUDS PRESENT IN THE AFTERNOON, SURFACE WIND GUSTS OF 30-40
MPH MAY EMERGE FROM EFFICIENT BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING OF 700-850 MB
LAYER WINDS OF 30-40 KT, ENHANCING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
..MID-ATLANTIC TOWARDS THE PIEDMONT
WIDESPREAD SOUTHERLY WINDS GREATER THAN 10 MPH (GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH)
AND RH OF 25-40 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED TO OVERLAP A REGION OF BROAD
95TH-99TH PERCENTILE ERC VALUES AND RECENTLY RECEPTIVE FUELS.
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN EXPANDED FARTHER SOUTH
INTO THE PIEDMONT AND EASTWARD TOWARDS THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA
COASTLINES TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE PERVASIVE CONDITIONS.
SEE THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOR MORE INFORMATION.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA/WILLIAMS.. 04/13/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1248 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
THE PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER TROUGH IN THE SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ON TUESDAY. THE TROUGH MAY NOT EJECT INTO
THE PLAINS UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. A SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN
IN THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
..SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND VICINITY
A SIMILAR SETUP TO MONDAY IS EXPECTED, THOUGH THE LOCATION OF THE
TROUGH WILL BRING BETTER ALIGNMENT OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL WINDS TO
THE REGION. THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL FURTHER INCREASE SURFACE
WIND SPEEDS TO 20-25 MPH. RH OF AROUND 15% APPEARS LIKELY. FARTHER
EAST INTO KANSAS, THE SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SIMILARLY STRONG ALONG
WITH A VERY DRY AIRMASS (RH PERHAPS NEARING 10% IN SOME LOCATIONS).
RECENT RAINFALL SHOULD MITIGATE SOME FIRE WEATHER RISK WITH EASTWARD
EXTENT. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
..PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
THE BASE OF THE TROUGH OVER THIS REGION ALONG WITH A MODERATELY
STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL PROMOTE 15-20 MPH WINDS. RH
WILL BE SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN GIVEN THE EXPECTED MID-LEVEL CLOUDS.
HOWEVER, AROUND 20% IS POSSIBLE FOR BROAD PORTIONS OF THE REGION.
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER IS FORECAST DURING THE AFTERNOON.
..MID-ATLANTIC
DRY RETURN FLOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE MID-ATLANTIC. 10-15 MPH WINDS
AROUND THE SURFACE HIGH ARE PROBABLE DURING THE AFTERNOON. 25-30% RH
WILL ALSO OCCUR. DESPITE THE MARGINAL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS,
VERY DRY FUELS WILL SUPPORT AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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