987
ACUS11 KWNS 150455
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150455
OHZ000-MIZ000-150600-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0442
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST OHIO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 150455Z - 150600Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE MAY SPREAD INTO
NORTHWEST OH, JUST SOUTHEAST OF WW #113. HOWEVER, THE NEED FOR A
NEW WATCH INTO OH IS UNCERTAIN.
DISCUSSION...A WELL-DEVELOPED MCS WITH BOWING SEGMENTS AND A COMMA
HEAD/MCV STRUCTURE CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOWER MI. THE STORMS
ARE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AND WILL REACH THE EDGE OF WW #113 NEAR AND
AFTER 06Z. THE DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT IS LESS BUOYANT INTO OH, IN
THE WAKE OF EARLIER CONVECTION, BUT THERE IS ALSO STRONG SOUTHWEST
FLOW JUST OFF THE SURFACE TO ADVECT MOISTURE NORTHEASTWARD. IT IS
NOT CLEAR IF THE STORMS WILL MAINTAIN SEVERITY INTO NORTHWEST OH,
BUT THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A SMALL WATCH AFTER 06Z.
..THOMPSON/HART.. 04/15/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...
LAT...LON 41278202 41148239 41118309 41258424 41418478 41638471
41788379 41938269 41828218 41528180 41278202
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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