114
ACUS11 KWNS 222207
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222207
OHZ000-INZ000-230000-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0499
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0507 PM CDT WED APR 22 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN INDIANA INTO MUCH OF OHIO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 222207Z - 230000Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL ACROSS MUCH OF OHIO AND
PORTIONS OF EASTERN INDIANA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. WANING
INTENSITY IS THEN EXPECTED INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
DISCUSSION...LATEST REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY DEPICTS SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHWESTERN/CENTRAL OHIO AND
EASTERN INDIANA, WITH SEVERAL REPORTS OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
NOTED OVER THE PAST 1-2 HOURS. CONTINUED DIURNAL HEATING IS
SUPPORTING 500-1000+ J/KG MLCAPE, WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE
STRONG TO OCCASIONALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE
UPPER-LEVEL FORCING REMAINS NEBULOUS, 20-30 KTS OF EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR (PER LATEST MESOANALYSIS) AND MODESTLY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR SMALL TO MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL WITH THE STRONGEST CORES. GUSTY WINDS ALSO REMAIN
POSSIBLE WITH ONGOING STORMS OWING TO STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF
8.5-9.0 C/KM. THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY IS THEN ANTICIPATED TO
GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER THIS EVENING OWING TO LOW-LEVEL NOCTURNAL
STABILIZATION. GIVEN THE LIMITED MAGNITUDE OF THE HAIL/WIND RISK,
WATCH ISSUANCE REMAINS UNLIKELY.
..CHALMERS/HART.. 04/22/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...
LAT...LON 40258557 40748570 41518463 41518290 41108190 40318117
39808124 39358179 39238291 39798463 40258557
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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