631
ACUS11 KWNS 232027
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232026
KSZ000-232230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0505
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0326 PM CDT THU APR 23 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL KS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 136...
VALID 232026Z - 232230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 136 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A CORRIDOR OF INCREASING SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED
ACROSS CENTRAL KS OVER THE 2-3 HOURS. VERY LARGE HAIL TO 3.5 INCHES
AND TORNADOES POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION...DEEPENING CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG AND JUST EAST OF A
SURFACE BOUNDARY FROM GEARY COUNTY WEST/SOUTHWEST TOWARD MCPHERSON
AND RENO COUNTIES IN CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL KS. THIS CONVECTION IS
DEVELOPING WITHIN 2500 J/KG MLCAPE, VERY STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES,
AND 40 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT ROBUST
UPDRAFTS THAT ORGANIZE QUICKLY. IN FACT, 19Z WOFS DATA SHOW A SWATH
OF 2.5-3.5 INCH HAIL POTENTIAL WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR THROUGH 23Z.
THIS CORRIDOR APPEARS MOST FAVORABLE VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADO
POTENTIAL IN THE SHORT TERM (2-3 HOURS).
..LEITMAN.. 04/23/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 38719771 39179735 39429702 39509654 39409628 39189615
38699628 38279647 37899681 37729711 37609738 37669775
37919800 38269794 38719771
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
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