231
ACUS11 KWNS 250109
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250109
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-250315-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0524
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0809 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 250109Z - 250315Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A CORRIDOR OF SEVERE WIND AND HAIL POTENTIAL SHOULD
PERSIST INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS AND PARTS OF NORTHWEST LOUISIANA THIS
EVENING.
DISCUSSION...A ROBUST COMPLEX OF STORMS IS MOVING OUT OF SOUTHEAST
OK AND INTO NORTHEAST TX, WITH A PARTICULARLY LARGE CELL ON THE
SOUTHWEST FLANK OVER LAMAR COUNTY TX. THIS CELL HAS AN IMPRESSIVE
SATELLITE PRESENTATION, WITH LARGE OVERSHOOTING TOPS. 00Z SOUNDINGS
INDICATE STRONG INSTABILITY REMAINS IN PLACE, BENEATH THE WESTERLY
FLOW REGIME ALOFT. WHILE THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO PUSH
SOUTHWESTWARD, REDUCING SBCAPE, IT MAY EVENTUALLY SLOW AS THE STORM
COMPLEX PROPAGATES SOUTH/SOUTHEAST. THIS SHOULD LEAVE A CORRIDOR OF
WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL, WITH LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE AS WELL DUE TO
LENGTHY MID/UPPER HODOGRAPHS. A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT IF
THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SLOWS LATER THIS EVENING.
..JEWELL/LEITMAN.. 04/25/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...
LAT...LON 33519595 33719573 34069507 34109477 34029437 33689398
33209369 32739322 32289293 31869297 31559330 31489394
31509474 31819550 32649591 33519595
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
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