235
ACUS11 KWNS 252304
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252303
OKZ000-TXZ000-260030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0533
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0603 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 144...
VALID 252303Z - 260030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 144 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES
WITHIN WW144.
DISCUSSION...TWO AREAS OF SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT ARE NOTED: ONE NEAR
THE RED RIVER SOUTHEAST OF FREDRICK, OK AND FURTHER NORTH NEAR THE
WARM FRONT IN PONTOTOC COUNTY OK.
THE CELL NEAR THE WARM FRONT IN PONTOTOC COUNTY IS IN A HIGHLY
FAVORABLE TORNADO ENVIRONMENT, WITH LATEST RAP SURFACE OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS INDICATING A BROAD REGION OF STP 4-5 ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
WARM FRONT. GIVEN THIS CELLS MORE DISCRETE NATURE AND PROXIMITY TO
THE WARM FRONT/RICH LOW-LEVEL SRH ENVIRONMENT, IT WILL POSE A
GREATER TORNADO RISK FOR STRONG TORNADOES IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.
FURTHER SOUTH NEAR THE RED RIVER, OVERALL LIGHTNING ACTIVITY HAS
BEEN MORE APPRECIABLE WITH A PAIR OF SPLITTING SUPERCELLS (RIGHT AND
LEFT SPLIT) WITH A HISTORY OF 2 INCH HAIL. THE RIGHT SPLIT HAS SHOWN
SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. GIVEN THE RELATIVELY WEAKER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
ACROSS THIS REGION, THE GREATEST POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN LARGE TO VERY
LARGE HAIL. HOWEVER, A TORNADO (PERHAPS STRONG) WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE GIVEN DOMINATE RIGHT MOVEMENT AND STORM-SCALE ENHANCEMENT
OF LOW-LEVEL SRH.
..THORNTON.. 04/25/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 34069895 34549847 34589840 34629833 35149717 35039617
35029604 34829532 34699506 34629500 34249494 33869503
33549521 33479542 33519568 33339736 33299820 33419876
33499885 34069895
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...140-170 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...4.00+ IN
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