897
ACUS11 KWNS 261625
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261624
KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-261800-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0547
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1124 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NORTHEAST KS INTO FAR SOUTHEAST
NE/NORTHWEST MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 261624Z - 261800Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A THREAT FOR HAIL AND LOCALIZED STRONG/DAMAGING GUSTS MAY
SPREAD EASTWARD INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...ELEVATED CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY INTENSIFIED ACROSS
CENTRAL KS. A SUBTLE MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND DOWNSTREAM
HEATING/MOISTENING MAY HELP TO SUSTAIN THIS STORM CLUSTER AS IT
MOVES EASTWARD INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. IN THE SHORT-TERM, WITH MUCAPE
APPROACHING 1000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 40+ KT, THE STRONGEST
ELEVATED CORES WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED HAIL, AND
PERHAPS LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS. IF SUFFICIENT DOWNSTREAM
HEATING/DESTABILIZATION OCCURS, THIS CLUSTER COULD EVENTUALLY BECOME
ROOTED CLOSER TO THE SURFACE AS IT APPROACHES NORTHEAST KS, WHICH
WOULD RESULT IN AN INCREASING THREAT OF DAMAGING WIND AND POSSIBLY A
BRIEF TORNADO, IN ADDITION TO CONTINUED HAIL POTENTIAL. WATCH
ISSUANCE IS POSSIBLE IF TRENDS SUPPORT INTENSIFICATION OF THIS
CLUSTER INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
..DEAN/GUYER.. 04/26/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...
LAT...LON 39399798 40149733 40259568 40099499 39609463 39039462
38309486 38169557 38069650 37999771 38299783 39399798
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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