824
ACUS11 KWNS 271856
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271855
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-272030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0572
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0155 PM CDT MON APR 27 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON
VALID 271855Z - 272030Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS DEVELOPING NEAR THE MISSOURI-KANSAS BORDER ARE
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARD BEING LARGE TO VERY
LARGE HAIL. A COUPLE OF TORNADOES AND/OR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. A LOCAL EXTENSION OF THE EXISTING TORNADO WATCH
AND/OR NEW WATCH WILL BE REQUIRED.
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED STORMS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ALONG A COLD
FRONT NEAR THE KS-MO WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH
MLCAPE OF 2500 J/KG, PER 18Z SGF SOUNDING. LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS ARE
GRADUALLY VEERING, WHICH IS LIMITING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR MAGNITUDES.
NONETHELESS, THE PRESENCE OF STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
INTENSE SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL AS THE PRIMARY
HAZARD. HOWEVER, A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.
..MEAD/GUYER.. 04/27/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 37329570 38339526 38879410 38649361 37779369 36269369
36289481 36239516 37329570
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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