841
FNUS22 KWNS 271936
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0236 PM CDT MON APR 27 2026
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND
WESTERN TEXAS...
..SOUTHERN PLAINS
DEEP LAYER WESTERLY FLOW UNDER A MID-LEVEL JET OVER THE SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS AIDED BY ENHANCED DOWNSLOPE DRYING IS STILL
EXPECTED TO PROMOTE A BROAD FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS MUCH OF NM,
SOUTH-CENTRAL CO AND WEST TX TUESDAY. WIDESPREAD WEST TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF AROUND 15 MPH COUPLED WITH RH FALLING TO 10-20% AMID DRY
FUELS WILL INCREASE FIRE SPREAD POTENTIAL AMID RECEPTIVE FUELS. MORE
INTENSE WIND BELTS OF 20-25 MPH ALIGNING WITH RH REDUCTIONS CLOSE TO
10% WILL YIELD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEASTERN NM INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF TX. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS
TO CRITICAL AND SURROUNDING ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS WERE MADE GIVEN
LATEST FORECAST GUIDANCE.
..UPSTATE NEW YORK AND WESTERN VERMONT
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF SURFACE TROUGH AND COLD
FRONT WILL EVOLVE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST TUESDAY. MID AND UPPER-LEVEL
CLOUD COVER FROM CONVECTION ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OHIO RIVER VALLEY
TODAY WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. DESPITE THE
CLOUD COVER, TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL SUPPORT A
MODEST SOUTHERLY WIND OF 10-15 MPH, WITH LOCALIZED/TERRAIN ENHANCED
20 MPH CORRIDORS LIKELY. THE STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS ALONG WITH RH
REDUCTIONS OF 25-35% (LOCALLY 20%) ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
THESE DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL ALIGN WITH RECEPTIVE FUELS TO
PROMOTE AN ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONCERN ACROSS UPSTATE NY AND
WESTERN VT, WHERE ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN INTRODUCED.
..WILLIAMS.. 04/27/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0146 AM CDT MON APR 27 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY ACROSS
PARTS OF EASTERN NM AND WESTERN TX. EARLY-MORNING WATER-VAPOR
IMAGERY DEPICTS A LOW-AMPLITUDE UPPER WAVE OVER CENTRAL CA. THIS
FEATURE WILL QUICKLY PROGRESS EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS, WHICH WILL RESULT IN SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS AND
INCREASING WESTERLY GRADIENT WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
LATEST FORECAST CONSENSUS IS THAT WIND SPEEDS WILL GENERALLY
INCREASE INTO THE 15-20 MPH RANGE FOR MOST OF THE REGION. GIVEN AN
ANTECEDENT DRY AIR MASS AND SEVERAL PRECEDING DAYS OF DRY/WINDY
CONDITIONS, FUELS WILL REMAIN STRESSED THROUGH TUESDAY AND SHOULD
SUPPORT SOME DEGREE OF FIRE SPREAD. ADDITIONALLY, INCREASING
DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS WITH RH MINIMUMS IN THE
10-20% RANGE LIKELY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR MOST
PROBABLE IN THE LEE OF THE MORE PROMINENT SOUTHERN ROCKIES MOUNTAIN
RANGES WHERE TERRAIN ENHANCEMENT OF FLOW UNDER THE UPPER JET WILL
PROMOTE SUSTAINED WINDS CLOSER TO 20-25 MPH.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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