550
FNUS21 KWNS 280529
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2026
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND
WESTERN TEXAS...
..SYNOPSIS
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE WEST COAST SLOWLY APPROACHES BAJA
CA, A MID/UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL TRAVERSE
THE HIGH PLAINS ENCOURAGING STRONG WESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW. FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NM INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AS A RESULT OF DOWNSLOPE WARMING AND BOUNDARY LAYER
MIXING. A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL PASS OVER THE GREAT LAKES
REGION INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO, ASSISTING IN THE BREAKDOWN OF UPPER
RIDGING ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLY
FLOW AHEAD OF AN INCOMING TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
ALLOW FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TO EMERGE IN UPSTATE NY AND WESTERN
VT AMID A VERY DRY AIRMASS.
..SOUTHERN PLAINS
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS
AFTERNOON WHERE A DRY AIRMASS AND STRONG WINDS OVERLAP A REGION OF
RECEPTIVE FUELS. WIDESPREAD WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15-20 MPH
COUPLED WITH RH FALLING TO 10-20 PERCENT ATOP A DRY FUELSCAPE WILL
INCREASE FIRE SPREAD POTENTIAL FOR ANY NEW AND/OR ONGOING WILDFIRES.
MORE INTENSE WIND BELTS OF 20-25 MPH ALIGNING WITH RH REDUCTIONS
CLOSE TO 10 PERCENT YIELD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN NM INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF TX.
..UPSTATE NEW YORK AND WESTERN VERMONT
AS SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS TIGHTEN SURROUNDING A SURFACE LOW
POSITIONED OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN ONTARIO, SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 10-15 MPH WITH LOCALIZED/TERRAIN ENHANCED 20 MPH
CORRIDORS LIKELY. MID-UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE THIS
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS, POTENTIALLY LIMITING DEEPER
MIXING. HOWEVER, RH OF 25-35 PERCENT (LOCALLY NEAR 20 PERCENT) ARE
STILL EXPECTED BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THESE DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS
WILL ALIGN AMID DRY FUELS TO PROMOTE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT
ACROSS UPSTATE NY AND WESTERN VT.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 04/28/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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