347
FNUS21 KWNS 290605
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0104 AM CDT WED APR 29 2026
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
..SYNOPSIS
A MID/UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE MIDWEST INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY AS AN ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW APPROACHES THE
MID-ATLANTIC. A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS EAST OF THE
APPALACHIANS EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHEAST BY THIS AFTERNOON. DRY
WESTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN GA AND
NORTHERN FL WHERE FUELS REMAIN DRY. ENHANCED MID-LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BOLSTER A CONTINUED
DOWNSLOPE REGIME ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. WITH PRECEDING DAYS OF
FIRE-EFFECTIVE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND RECEPTIVE FUELS, FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WILL PERSIST OVER CENTRAL NM TO FAR EASTERN AZ THIS
AFTERNOON.
..SOUTHWEST
UPPER-LEVEL CLOUD COVER IS CURRENTLY INCREASING ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN PLAINS EARLY THIS MORNING OWING TO A
SUBTROPICAL JET ADVECTING MOISTURE ALOFT. THIS WILL LIKELY INHIBIT
RH RECOVERIES WEST OF THE NM CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN, PRECONDITIONING
AN ALREADY DRY FUEL ENVIRONMENT. A 50-60 KT MID-LEVEL JET AT THE
BASE OF AN EMBEDDED, LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE WITHIN BROADER
WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL EVOLVE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS TODAY, PROMOTING CONTINUED DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS.
WESTERLY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH AND RH OF LESS THAN 15 PERCENT AMID DRY
FUELS WILL SUPPORT AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN AZ INTO CENTRAL NM/WEST TX AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY. LOCALLY
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY EMERGE MAINLY IN THE LEEWARD
SLOPES OF THE MORE PROMINENT MOUNTAIN RANGES IN SOUTHERN NM WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-25 MPH AMID 10 PERCENT RH.
..SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA
BENEATH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH, A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC WILL ENHANCE SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS ACROSS
MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST AS MINIMAL GULF MOISTURE INFLUENCE WILL
OVERLAP A DRY AND DROUGHT STRESSED LANDSCAPE. WEST WINDS OF AROUND
10 MPH AND RH OF 25-35 PERCENT (LOCALLY LESS THAN 25 PERCENT) ARE
EXPECTED TO PROMOTE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN GA INTO NORTHERN FL THIS AFTERNOON. EARLY MORNING
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL AL INTO FAR
WESTERN GA, BUT ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS THEY APPROACH THE
ELEVATED RISK AREA. HOWEVER, IF PRECIPITATION PERSISTS FARTHER
SOUTHEAST THAN ANTICIPATED, FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS WILL BE ADJUSTED
IN THE 17Z OUTLOOK.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 04/29/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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