052
ACUS11 KWNS 291838
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291837
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-292030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0619
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0137 PM CDT WED APR 29 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH TEXAS INTO THE ARKLATEX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 180...
VALID 291837Z - 292030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 180
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL REMAINS THE PREDOMINANT SEVERE-WEATHER THREAT
IN THE NEAR TERM. THE HAIL THREAT IS DEVELOPING TO THE WEST OF THE
CURRENT WATCH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS, AND A LOCAL EXTENSION
IN AREA MAY BE NEED.
DISCUSSION...AS OF 1925Z, MOSAIC RADAR DATA SHOWED A BROAD ZONE OF
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE BROWNWOOD, TX VICINITY
INTO THE ARKLATEX REGION. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS WERE LOCATED OVER
CASS AND MARION COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST TX, AND CLAIBORNE PARISH IN
NORTHWEST LA WITH RECENT REPORTS OF 1.0-1.5" DIAMETER HAIL WITH
THOSE STORMS. MODEST LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ATOP A STABLE,
NEAR-SURFACE LAYER (PER KFWD VWP) WILL CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN THE
ONGOING STORMS WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND STRONGLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT. AS SUCH, THE SETUP WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR EMBEDDED
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL UP TO 2.5" IN DIAMETER.
THE LARGE-HAIL THREAT MAY MATERIALIZE TO THE WEST OF THE CURRENT
WATCH AREA, AND A LOCAL EXTENSION MAY BE REQUIRED.
GIVEN THE RELATIVELY CLOSER PROXIMITY OF THE NORTHWEST LA STORMS TO
THE SURFACE FRONT, THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY INCREASE AS
THAT ACTIVITY CONTINUES SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE BOUNDARY.
..MEAD.. 04/29/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...
LAT...LON 31999864 32819794 33529518 33329299 33139229 32489216
31679217 31429321 31369388 31669530 31509825 31999864
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page