487
FNUS22 KWNS 291919
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0218 PM CDT WED APR 29 2026
VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
..FLORIDA PENINSULA
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE GULF COAST INTO
NORTHERN FL BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR ACROSS NORTHERN FL. RECEPTIVE FUELS COULD
SUPPORT LIGHTNING IGNITIONS WHERE PRECIPITATION IS MINIMIZED ALONG
WITH A POTENTIAL IMPACT TO EXISTING FIRES FROM OUTFLOW WINDS. SOUTH
OF THIS BOUNDARY, STEADY WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND RH REDUCTIONS
OF 20-35% AMID DROUGHT STRESSED FUELS WILL SUPPORT AN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER THREAT FOR CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE FL PENINSULA DURING PEAK
BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING IN THE AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT SOUTHEASTWARD SHIFT
AND EXTENSION INTO EASTERN FL COAST WAS WARRANTED BASED ON LATEST
FORECAST GUIDANCE, WITH A WESTERLY OFFSHORE COMPONENT AND RELATED
DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH THE DAY.
..WILLIAMS.. 04/29/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0105 AM CDT WED APR 29 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A MID/UPPER-LEVEL PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE BAJA PENINSULA
AND TRANSITION INTO AN EASTWARD PROJECTING SHORTWAVE AS A WESTERLY
50-70 KT JET EMERGES DOWNSTREAM ACROSS CENTRAL TX INTO THE SOUTHEAST
ON THURSDAY. AMPLE PACIFIC MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL ENCOURAGE
WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS AND A REDUCED FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. BROAD UPPER TROUGHING
IS FORECAST TO TAKE RESIDENCE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AS A CLOSED
UPPER-LEVEL LOW PERSISTS OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO. A SOUTHWARD
PROGRESSING WEAK COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY STALL OVER SOUTHERN GA
AND NORTHERN FL ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON, BRINGING INCREASED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO WHERE EXTENSIVE DROUGHT AND RECEPTIVE FUELS
REMAIN. HOWEVER, AHEAD OF THE FRONT, HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROMOTE A
WARM AND DRY AIRMASS OVER CENTRAL FL WHERE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
REEMERGE AMID A VERY DRY FUELSCAPE.
..FLORIDA PENINSULA
AHEAD OF A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR THE FL-GA LINE, SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE
FL PENINSULA ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT
IS EXPECTED WHERE WESTERLY WINDS OF UP TO 10 MPH WILL PARTIALLY
OVERLAP A REGION OF 30-35 PERCENT RH AMID RECEPTIVE FUELS AND A
DROUGHT-RIDDEN ENVIRONMENT. NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY, INCREASING
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG WITH AFTERNOON HEATING AND RESULTANT
INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LIGHTNING IGNITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS THAT DO NOT SEE SUFFICIENT
RAINFALL, AND RESULTANT GUSTY/ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS FROM
THUNDERSTORMS COULD FURTHER EXACERBATE ANY NEW/ONGOING FIRES.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page