712
FNUS21 KWNS 301624
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026
VALID 301700Z - 011200Z
NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK. A WEAK BUT CONSISTENT WESTERLY
WIND, SOUTH OF NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED OVER
NORTHERN FL, WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA THROUGH TODAY. A
SUBTLE THERMAL TROUGH WILL EVOLVE ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA TODAY,
RESULTING IN A RELATIVE TEMPERATURE MAXIMUM ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL FL.
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES SHOULD
SUPPORT MINIMUM RH REDUCTIONS IN THE 30-35% RANGE TODAY. COUPLED
WITH WEST WINDS OF AROUND 10 MPH AMID DROUGHT AFFECTED AND RECEPTIVE
FUELS, AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT EXISTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FL PENINSULA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN ACROSS NORTHERN FL THROUGH TODAY. A FEW
LIGHTNING IGNITIONS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS, POTENTIALLY IMPACTING
EXISTING WILDFIRES, WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN.
..WILLIAMS.. 04/30/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1201 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A MID/UPPER-LEVEL PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE BAJA PENINSULA
AND TRANSITION INTO AN EASTWARD PROJECTING SHORTWAVE. DOWNSTREAM, A
ROBUST WESTERLY 50-70 KT JET WILL EMERGE ACROSS CENTRAL TX EXTENDING
INTO THE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. AMPLE PACIFIC MOISTURE TRANSPORT
WILL ENCOURAGE WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS AND A REDUCED FIRE WEATHER
THREAT ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. BROAD
UPPER TROUGHING WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE NORTHEAST, ANCHORED
BY A PERSISTENT CLOSED UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO. IN THE
SOUTHEAST, A WEAK, SOUTHWARD PROPAGATING WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO STALL OVER SOUTHERN GA AND NORTHERN FL, INCREASING PRECIPITATION
CHANCES TO WHERE EXTENSIVE DROUGHT AND RECEPTIVE FUELS REMAIN.
CONVERSELY, HIGH PRESSURE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL PROMOTE A WARM,
DRY AIRMASS OVER CENTRAL FL WHERE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REEMERGE
AMID A VERY DRY FUELSCAPE.
..CENTRAL FLORIDA
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH
OF THE FL PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A SLOW-MOVING,
QUASI-STATIONARY COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE GULF COAST AND
NORTHERN FL. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY,
MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR. LIGHTNING
IGNITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS THAT DO NOT SEE SUFFICIENT RAINFALL,
AND RESULTANT GUSTY/ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS COULD
FURTHER EXACERBATE ANY NEW/ONGOING FIRES. SOUTH OF THE FRONT, AN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT EXISTS WHERE WESTERLY WINDS OF UP TO 10
MPH WILL PARTIALLY OVERLAP A REGION OF 25-35 PERCENT RH AMID DROUGHT
STRESSED FUELS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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