360
FNUS22 KWNS 010712
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 AM CDT FRI MAY 01 2026
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
..SYNOPSIS
MID-LEVEL TROUGHING IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY OVER THE EASTERN US
SATURDAY AS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ALSO STRENGTHENS. THIS WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT INTO THE GULF, THOUGH GUSTY WINDS AND DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF IT OVER PARTS OF FL. TO THE WEST OF
THE UPPER TROUGH, NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE PLAINS
AHEAD OF A RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS SUPPORTING DRY AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS INTO PARTS OF THE DAKOTAS/MT.
..FL
ANOTHER DAY OF DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FL. SURFACE WINDS SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT STRONGER
THAN FRIDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US DEEPENS AND FLOW
ALOFT INCREASES. SURFACE GUSTS OF 10-20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AMID RH
BELOW 35%. AREA FUELS REMAIN QUITE DRY WITH LITTLE RECENT RAINFALL
AND ERC VALUES ABOVE THE 95TH PERCENTILE. FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS
SHOULD END WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AND SOME LIGHT RAINFALL POSSIBLE
INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
..NORTHERN PLAINS
ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE BROADER EASTERN US TROUGH, A SUBTLE SHORTWAVE
WILL SUPPORT A WEAK SURFACE CYCLONE ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING OUT
SOUTHERN CANADA. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH THE FRONT. WITH LITTLE SURFACE MOISTURE IN PLACE, AFTERNOON RH
VALUES BELOW 20% ARE LIKELY. COMBINED WITH DRY FUELS, THE DRY/BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY SUPPORT A FEW HOURS OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN ND, NORTHWESTERN SD AND SOUTHEASTERN
MT, WHERE RECENT RAINFALL HAS BEEN MINIMAL AND FUELS REMAIN DRY.
..LYONS.. 05/01/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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