493
FNUS21 KWNS 011629
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CDT FRI MAY 01 2026
VALID 011700Z - 021200Z
..MORNING UPDATE
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS
THE FL PENINSULA THIS MORNING WILL PROMOTE SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY LAYER
MIXING INTO A DRIER AIRMASS ALOFT. HOWEVER, MID/HIGH CLOUD COVER IS
EXPECTED TO EXPAND OVER THE REGION AS A DIGGING NORTHERN STREAM
TROUGH INCREASES MOISTURE ALOFT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. INLAND RH
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO 30-35 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING WHILE
WESTERLY WINDS HOVER AROUND 10 MPH (GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH) ATOP DROUGHT
STRESSED FUELS, SUPPORTIVE OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 05/01/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0201 AM CDT FRI MAY 01 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
BROAD MID-LEVEL TROUGHING, WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED PERTURBATIONS
SHOULD GRADUALLY DEEPEN OVER THE EASTERN US TODAY AS RIDGING BUILDS
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. WEST OF THE RIDGE, A CLOSED LOW WILL DEVELOP
OFFSHORE AND SLOWLY MOVE INLAND OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. STRONG
WESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE GULF COAST AND EASTERN US
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWLY SAGS SOUTHWARD. WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT WHICH SHOULD
GREATLY LIMIT FIRE-WEATHER POTENTIAL OUTSIDE OF FL.
..FL
SOUTH OF THE SLOW-MOVING FRONT ACROSS THE GULF COAST AND NORTHERN
FL, ENHANCED WESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE NOT OVERLY STRONG (10-15 MPH GUSTS),
THE BREEZY CONDITIONS SHOULD DEVELOP BENEATH CLEAR SKIES, A
RELATIVELY DRY AIR MASS WITH RH VALUES OF 30-35% AND SURFACE
TEMPERATURES NEAR 90F. WIDESPREAD RECEPTIVE FUELS (ERCS IN THE
90-97TH PERCENTILES) WILL SUPPORT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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