402
ACUS11 KWNS 061319
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061319
TXZ000-061415-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0652
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0819 AM CDT WED MAY 06 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...THE EDWARDS PLATEAU
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 061319Z - 061415Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS WILL POSE A LARGE HAIL AND WIND
DAMAGE THREAT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. A SMALL SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION...CONVECTION DEVELOPED EARLIER THIS MORNING ALONG A
SURFACE FRONT ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU, AND THE STORMS HAVE SHOWN
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. THE 12Z DRT SOUNDING REVEALED STRONG BUOYANCY
IMMEDIATELY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THESE STORMS, AND THE STORMS MAY
CONTINUE EASTWARD ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE WEAKENING BY MID-LATE MORNING. IN THE
INTERIM, THE STORMS WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING OCCASIONAL
LARGE HAIL (1-2 INCHES IN DIAMETER) AND SEVERE OUTFLOW GUSTS (60-70
MPH). THE NEED FOR A SMALL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS BEING
DISCUSSED WITH THE CENTRAL TX NWS OFFICES.
..THOMPSON/SMITH.. 05/06/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...
LAT...LON 30509786 30269829 30219926 30269976 30559988 30809965
30919912 30969853 31029816 30929793 30509786
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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