640
ACUS11 KWNS 070016
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070016
MSZ000-070115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0658
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0716 PM CDT WED MAY 06 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 186...
VALID 070016Z - 070115Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 186 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SUPERCELL WITH A STRONG TORNADO TO PERSIST EASTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI SOUTH OF US84 AND WILL BE APPROACHING THE I-55
CORRIDOR SOON.
DISCUSSION...A SUPERCELL HAS STRENGTHENED RAPIDLY AND IS CURRENTLY
PRODUCING A STRONG TORNADO (ESTIMATED WIND 135-180 MPH) NEAR
MEADVILLE, MS. THIS STORM IS MOVING WITHIN A VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT OF
MODERATE TO STRONG MLCAPE INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SRH (AROUND 200-250
M2/S2 FROM DGX TO HDC). EFFECTIVE STP IS ANALYZED TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 2-3. IT IS LIKELY THAT THIS STORM WILL PERSIST DOWNSTREAM TO
EAST WITH POTENTIAL FOR CONTINUED STRONG TO INTENSE TORNADOES.
..THORNTON.. 05/07/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 31479130 31719113 32039036 32158993 32148961 31918943
31568942 31288992 31149087 31159098 31249129 31479130
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...140-170 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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