474
ACUS11 KWNS 070031
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070031
ALZ000-MSZ000-070130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0659
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0731 PM CDT WED MAY 06 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND FAR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 186...
VALID 070031Z - 070130Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 186 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...AN INTENSE SUPERCELL WITH A RECENT STRONG TORNADO IS
ONGOING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS VERY
FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TORNADOES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MS AND SOUTHWEST
AL.
DISCUSSION...AS OF 0020 UTC, LOCAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED AN INTENSE
SUPERCELL WITH A RECENT, LIKELY STRONG, TORNADO ONGOING OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FOREST COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MS. THIS
SUPERCELL IS ONGOING IN AN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH STP VALUES OF 2-3.
THE MOB VAD SHOWS AN ENLARGED HODOGRAPH WITH 200-300 M2/S2 OF
EFFECTIVE SRH. THIS STRONGLY SUGGESTS THIS DISCRETE SUPERCELL WILL
CONTINUE EASTWARD WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES (POSSIBLY STRONG TO
INTENSE) THIS EVENING. CURRENT TRACKING (240 DEGREES AT 40 KT)
EXTRAPOLATES THIS STORM ACROSS THE MS/AL STATE LINE NEAR 0100 TO
0130 UTC (8 TO 830 CDT). LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ALSO REMAIN
POSSIBLE.
..LYONS.. 05/07/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...
LAT...LON 31518935 31658858 31638817 31448786 31318785 31188803
31088822 31048855 31038896 31058916 31068930 31128940
31228941 31518935
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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