229
ACUS11 KWNS 070305
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070304
GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-070400-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0662
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1004 PM CDT WED MAY 06 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 186...187...
VALID 070304Z - 070400Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 186, 187 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES WITHIN PORTIONS OF WW186 AND
WW187. A REPLACEMENT WATCH MAY BE NEEDED BEFORE 04Z.
DISCUSSION...THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES TO TREND DOWN
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MS/AL AS THE FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD.
FURTHER SOUTH, MORE FAVORABLY WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR AND STRONG DEEP
LAYER SHEAR REMAINS NEAR THE GULF.
WITH CONTINUED STEADY INCREASE IN THE LLJ EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN
MS/AL OVERNIGHT, A CORRIDOR OF CONTINUING SEVERE RISK LOOKS LIKELY.
GIVEN FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES, THE TORNADO RISK WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THESE AREAS. RISK FOR
INSTANCES OF LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO CONTINUE. A REPLACEMENT WATCH
PROBABLY WILL BE NEEDED BEFORE 04Z.
..THORNTON.. 05/07/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 32648677 32458844 32099041 31889088 31789106 31669116
31549117 31389112 31199105 31109083 31079041 31348801
31478642 31748517 32118497 32568504 32758562 32648677
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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