131
ACUS11 KWNS 071204
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071204
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-071330-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0665
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0704 AM CDT THU MAY 07 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SOUTH AL...SOUTHWEST GA...FL PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 189...190...
VALID 071204Z - 071330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 189, 190 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SOME THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND AND A TORNADO WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE MORNING.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED STRONG STORMS ARE ONGOING AS OF 12 UTC ACROSS
SOUTH AL, SOUTHWEST GA, AND THE NORTHWEST FL PANHANDLE. DESPITE RICH
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND A FAVORABLE KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT, STORMS
HAVE STRUGGLED TO MAINTAIN SEVERE INTENSITY THIS MORNING, LIKELY DUE
TO WEAK LOW/MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND A TENDENCY FOR STORMS TO
GENERALLY BE ORIENTED PARALLEL TO A SOUTHWARD-SAGGING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY.
EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS SOME CLEARING AND POTENTIAL
FOR FILTERED HEATING ACROSS PARTS OF THE FL PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHWEST
GA. ANY SUBSTANTIAL DESTABILIZATION AND STEEPENING OF LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES COULD YIELD AN UPTICK IN SEVERE POTENTIAL THROUGH THE
MORNING, AS STORMS GENERALLY MOVE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. WHILE SOME
MODEST WEAKENING AND VEERING OF LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM
WEST TO EAST, DEEP-LAYER FLOW/SHEAR WILL REMAIN MORE THAN SUFFICIENT
FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION, RESULTING IN LOCALIZED DAMAGING-WIND AND
TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH ANY SUPERCELLS OR SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS.
..DEAN.. 05/07/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...
LAT...LON 31108800 31258663 31618535 31728453 31688407 31658386
31608375 31458359 31198348 30718358 30558380 30428428
30338549 30318597 30378682 30368737 30388773 30428791
30838805 31108800
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page