007
ACUS11 KWNS 071439
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071439
FLZ000-ALZ000-071545-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0667
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0939 AM CDT THU MAY 07 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 071439Z - 071545Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...OCCASIONAL DEVELOPING SUPERCELL STRUCTURES MAY POSE A
CONTINUING RISK FOR LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND/OR A BRIEF
TORNADO INTO LATE MORNING.
DISCUSSION...THE BOUNDARY-LAYER REMAINS SEASONABLY MOIST AND
CHARACTERIZED BY MODEST CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1000-1500 J/KG, WITHIN
A NARROW LINGERING PRE-FRONTAL CORRIDOR ACROSS THE THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. IN THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE TO STRONG, THOUGH
LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR, THE ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES TO SUPPORT
OCCASIONAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES, ON THE WESTERN FLANK OF A
PERSISTENT EASTWARD PROGRESSING BAND OF CONVECTION. IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT THIS THREAT COULD PERSIST INTO THE 15-17Z TIME FRAME, BEFORE
THAT SOUTHWARD ADVANCING CONGLOMERATE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW PROGRESSES
OFFSHORE.
..KERR/SMITH.. 05/07/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...
LAT...LON 30448801 30698687 30648592 30058599 30048806 30368805
30448801
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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