132
FNUS22 KWNS 071843
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0143 PM CDT THU MAY 07 2026
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
..AFTERNOON UPDATE
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE ELEVATED RISK AREA. ACROSS NORTHEASTERN
MT AND WESTERN ND, RECENT GUIDANCE DEPICTS INCREASING MID-HIGH LEVEL
CLOUD COVER AHEAD OF A MORE ACCELERATED COLD FRONT ARRIVAL. SPOTTY
SHOWERS ON DAY 1/THURSDAY AND EXPECTED GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES
INTO DAY 2/FRIDAY WILL PROVIDE SOME FUEL RELIEF AHEAD OF EMERGING
AFTERNOON WESTERLY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH. MODEL SOUNDINGS PORTRAY
INCREASING MID-LEVEL MOISTURE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON, PROMOTING
EXPANDING CLOUD COVER THUS LIMITING GREATER AFTERNOON MIXING.
HOWEVER, RH MAY STILL FALL TO LESS THAN 25 PERCENT ATOP
EXCEPTIONALLY DRY FUELS WITHIN THE ELEVATED RISK AREA, MAINTAINING
CURRENT HIGHLIGHTS. THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
PASS THROUGH NORTHEASTERN MT AND NORTHWESTERN ND DURING THE EVENING,
SHIFTING WINDS FROM NORTHWEST TO NORTHEASTERLY AND INCREASING RH.
ACROSS EASTERN ND, WESTERN MN, AND CENTRAL-EASTERN SD, A BRIEF
OVERLAP OF 25-30 PERCENT RH AND SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 MPH MAY
PROMOTE LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WHERE VERY DRY FUELS
EXIST. HOWEVER, DURATION OF THESE CONDITIONS AND INCREASING CLOUD
COVER PRECLUDES THE EXPANSION OF HIGHLIGHTS AT THIS TIME.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 05/07/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1259 AM CDT THU MAY 07 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTS OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD INTO THE
ATLANTIC TODAY AS A TRAILING, LOWER AMPLITUDE UPPER WAVE ENTERS THE
MIDWEST AND CENTRAL PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT NEAR A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL EXTEND EASTWARD
FROM TEXAS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AND FL PANHANDLE, BRINGING
SOME RELIEF TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FL. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
UNDER A BUILDING RIDGE ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WILL MANIFEST LARGELY
AS A FUEL CURING/DRYING EVENT WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.
..NORTHERN PLAINS
BROAD NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL ENCOMPASS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY, WITH TROUGHING ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. AND A
BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. LACK OF SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF ND AND EASTERN MT HAS ALLOWED MORE
RECEPTIVE FUELS TO EMERGE OVER THE LAST FEW WEEKS. WEST/NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 15-20 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING CLOSE TO 20% WILL
COMBINE WITH INCREASINGLY DRY FUELS TO PROMOTE AN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERN FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. ELEVATED
HIGHLIGHTS WERE INTRODUCED ACROSS FAR NORTHEASTERN MT INTO WESTERN
ND TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS FIRE WEATHER THREAT. A TEMPORARY IMPROVEMENT
IN FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT
AS A COLD FRONT SHIFTS SOUTH FROM SASKATCHEWAN. A FEW SHOWERS AND
INITIALLY HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, BUT WIDESPREAD WETTING PRECIPITATION UNLIKELY.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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