168
ACUS11 KWNS 091927
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091927
NCZ000-092100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0685
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 PM CDT SAT MAY 09 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 091927Z - 092100Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION...A MINI SUPERCELL, CURRENTLY WITH NO LIGHTNING, HAS
DEVELOPED ACROSS COLUMBUS COUNTY, NORTH CAROLINA. THE LTX VWP SHOWS
GRADUALLY INCREASING WIND WITH HEIGHT AND SOME LOW-LEVEL TURNING.
THIS STORM DEVELOPED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK INSTABILITY, BUT THERE
IS GREATER INSTABILITY CLOSER TO THE COAST WHERE THE GREATER
MOISTURE IS PRESENT. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO WILL BE A SUB-SEVERE
MINI-SUPERCELL, BUT GIVEN THE STRONG WIND PROFILE AND GRADUALLY
INCREASING INSTABILITY AS IT MOVE EAST, A WIND GUST OR EVEN A
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
ADDITIONALLY, ANOTHER CELL COULD DEVELOP TO ITS SOUTH/WEST AND POSE
A SIMILAR THREAT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
..BENTLEY/GLEASON.. 05/09/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...
LAT...LON 34507719 34377752 34207771 33967785 34017812 34177845
34337851 34527833 34617761 34617726 34507719
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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