754
ACUS11 KWNS 110251
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110251
TXZ000-110515-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0701
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0951 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 197...
VALID 110251Z - 110515Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 197
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A FEW SEVERE WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE AS ACTIVITY
SPREADS SOUTH/SOUTHEAST. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL MAY OCCUR TOWARD THE
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
CENTRAL TX AND TOWARD THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AS THE AGGREGATE
OUTFLOW/COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS HAVE GENERALLY
SHOWN GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH, AND THIS IS GENERALLY EXPECTED AS
STORMS AFFECT THE I-35 CORRIDOR.
TOWARD THE RIO GRANDE, SPORADIC UPTICKS IN INTENSITY HAVE BEEN
NOTED, THOUGH THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THIS LINE/OUTFLOW HAS NOT YET
CONSOLIDATED INTO AN MCS. THIS SCENARIO REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS THE AIR MASS REMAINS VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE.
DEPENDING ON STORM TRENDS, A WATCH COULD BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF DEEP
SOUTH TX FOR WIND & HAIL POTENTIAL.
..JEWELL.. 05/11/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...
LAT...LON 28850059 29169989 29839947 29949885 30159839 30739785
31019723 30949700 30529667 29879670 29379715 28729808
27719990 28090009 28250029 28700052 28850059
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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