902
ACUS11 KWNS 132352
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132351
TXZ000-140145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0717
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0651 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 132351Z - 140145Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR SEVERE WIND AND LARGE HAIL THIS
EVENING.
DISCUSSION...CUMULUS CONTINUES TO DEEPEN ACROSS PORTIONS THE
NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE NEAR AMARILLO, WITH A FEW ATTEMPTS NOTED
FURTHER SOUTH EAST OF I-27 NEAR CAP ROCK. THIS IS OCCURRING ALONG A
BOUNDARY OF INCREASING MOISTURE MOVING NORTHWARD FROM WESTERN
OKLAHOMA INTO THE TX/OK PANHANDLES. OVERALL, FORCING FOR ASCENT IS
WEAK ASIDE FROM THE THIS WEAK BOUNDARY LEADING TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. GIVEN A STORM, THE VERY WARM AND WELL
MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AND STEEP LOW TO MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WOULD BE
CONDUCIVE TO INSTANCES OF LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE GUSTS. THIS THREAT
REMAINS TOO CONDITIONAL AND ISOLATED FOR WATCH ISSUANCE BUT TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED.
..THORNTON/SMITH.. 05/13/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 36220170 36070189 35730214 35240219 34940211 34780190
34670161 34640087 34710051 34890015 35360005 35680012
35880019 36120037 36240075 36320117 36220170
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page