715
ACUS01 KWNS 140050
SWODY1
SPC AC 140048
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
VALID 140100Z - 141200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF
CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST MONTANA...
..SUMMARY
SCATTERED SEVERE WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE PRIMARILY OVER MONTANA
THIS EVENING. ISOLATED STRONG STORMS MAY LINGER FROM VIRGINIA INTO
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA WITH GUSTY WINDS.
..MT
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST
ACROSS MT THIS EVENING, WITH SEVERE WIND POTENTIAL PERSISTING. A
LEADING LINE OF STORMS IS MOVING INTO NORTHEAST MT, WITH SMALL HAIL
ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS. TO THE WEST, OTHER STRONG CONVECTION WAS
NOTED NEAR THE COLD FRONT, WITH SPORADIC FAST-MOVING CELLS. VERY
STRONG OUTFLOW MOVING ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL MT HAS ALSO RESULTED IN
MEASURED GUSTS OVER 70 KT.
FOR MORE INFORMATION, SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
#0716.
..VA INTO PA
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO PUSH RAPIDLY EAST INTO
SOUTHEAST PA, INTO CENTRAL MD AND ACROSS NORTHERN VA. THOUGH
INSTABILITY IS LIMITED, THIS CONVECTION IS SUPPORTED BY THE
PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH. SEVERAL STATIONS HAVE REPORTED WIND GUSTS
IN THE 30-40 KT RANGE, BUT 00Z SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A COOLING BOUNDARY
LAYER THIS EVENING SHOULD LIMIT SEVERE POTENTIAL.
..JEWELL.. 05/14/2026
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