135
ACUS11 KWNS 170534
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170533
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-170700-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0745
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1233 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST KANSAS...SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA...AND
NORTHWEST MISSOURI
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 211...212...
VALID 170533Z - 170700Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 211, 212
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...DAMAGING WIND THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 1-2
HOURS WITH A FAST MOVING BOWING SEGMENT MOVING ACROSS NORTHEAST
KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA. FARTHER EAST, LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHERN MISSOURI.
DISCUSSION...A WELL ORGANIZED LINEAR BOWING SEGMENT CONTINUES TO
QUICKLY MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT ALONG AND
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE MCS REMAINS CONDUCIVE FOR DAMAGING
THUNDERSTORM WINDS, WITH MEASURED WIND GUSTS WITHIN THE LAST HOUR IN
EXCESS OF 85 MPH. IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS, THE ONGOING BOWING SEGMENT
SHOULD MOVE INTO A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS NORTHERN
MISSOURI WHERE ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO REINFORCE A STABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER. IN TURN, THIS SHOULD BEGIN TO LESSEN THE OVERALL
DAMAGING WIND THREAT.
GIVEN THE CURRENT SPEED OF THE BOWING SEGMENT, A LOCAL EXTENSION IN
TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 211 MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS
EASTERN/SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH.
FARTHER EAST, THE AFOREMENTIONED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN
MISSOURI WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL
AS THEY REMAIN ROOTED WITHIN AN ELEVATED CAPE RESERVOIR. AN ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUST CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
..MARSH.. 05/17/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...
LAT...LON 39189783 39909700 40559705 40589266 39609284 39389487
39089657 39189783
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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