472
ACUS11 KWNS 251143
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251142
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-251345-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0852
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 251142Z - 251345Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...LOCALLY DAMAGING GUSTS AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT
BE RULED OUT THIS MORNING.
DISCUSSION...PRECEDING A MIDLEVEL TROUGH/LOW (EVIDENT IN WATER-VAPOR
IMAGERY) OVER EASTERN TX, THE LATEST RADAR DATA INDICATES AN MCV
MOVING ONSHORE INTO SOUTHERN MS. THE MOB VWP IS SAMPLING
DEEP-SOUTHERLY FLOW AND A SMALL CLOCKWISE-CURVED LOW-LEVEL
HODOGRAPH. GIVEN A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER (LOWER 70S DEWPOINTS) AND
THE MODESTLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT, A COUPLE LOOSELY ORGANIZED
CLUSTERS WITH EMBEDDED ROTATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS SHOULD
GENERALLY BE FOCUSED ALONG/AHEAD OF THE NORTHWARD-MOVING MCV OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LOCALLY DAMAGING GUSTS AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS THAT EVOLVE.
..WEINMAN/SMITH.. 05/25/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 30178991 30799006 31338993 31768966 32008924 32048871
31868828 31518807 30988811 29928860 29648914 29788964
30178991
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page