732
ACUS03 KWNS 251932
SWODY3
SPC AC 251931
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0231 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2026
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES...
..SUMMARY
SOME SEVERE STORMS MAY OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY, WITH THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION APPEARING TO HAVE THE PRIMARY POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS
CAPABLE OF WIND DAMAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
..MID-ATLANTIC STATES
STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS MAY OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL BE AS THE UPSTREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVERSPREADS A MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A ROUGHLY WEST/EAST-ORIENTED FRONT. DAMAGING WINDS WOULD
LIKELY BE THE MOST PROBABLE SEVERE-WEATHER RISK.
..SOUTH/SOUTHEAST TEXAS TO LOUISIANA
THIS IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO A BE RATHER COMPLEX SCENARIO INTO THE
DAY 3 TIME FRAME WITH THE UNCERTAIN TIMING/LOCATION OF A POTENTIAL
LINGERING MCS SOMEWHERE ACROSS SOUTH/SOUTHEAST TEXAS TO SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA. SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL COULD LINGER ACROSS THE COASTAL
PLAIN AND/OR REDEVELOP LATER WEDNESDAY ACROSS SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND
THE ADJACENT SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS VIA LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW,
ALTHOUGH MID-LEVEL WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY WEAK.
..NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
SOME STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS COULD AGAIN OCCUR WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITHIN A MARGINALLY MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
BENEATH THE UPPER-JET EXIT REGION ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE PROMINENT
UPPER TROUGH EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED OVER CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA.
..SOUTHERN MINNESOTA/SOUTHERN WISCONSIN/NORTHERN IOWA
A FEW STRONG/SEVERE STORMS COULD OCCUR AS AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
PERSISTS NEAR THE SOUTHWARD-SHIFTING FRONT. SUCH STORM DEVELOPMENT
MIGHT BE AIDED BY A GLANCING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH SOMEWHAT
STRENGTHENING FLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER, OVERALL PREDICTABILITY IN THIS
SCENARIO IS LIMITED IN THE DAY 3 TIME FRAME.
..SOUTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/RATON MESA VICINITY
A FEW STRONG OR LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS COULD OCCUR REGIONALLY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HOWEVER, MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
DEEP-LAYER WINDS SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK, AND THUS OVERALL
SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN RATHER LOW/DISORGANIZED.
..GUYER.. 05/25/2026
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