119
ACUS11 KWNS 262007
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262007
TXZ000-262130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0862
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0307 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF TEXAS HILL COUNTRY
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 244...
VALID 262007Z - 262130Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 244
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE GUSTS WILL REMAIN THE GREATEST
THREAT IN WW 244. THERE IS A LOCALLY MORE FAVORABLE ZONE FOR
TORNADOES BETWEEN EAGLE PASS AND SAN ANTONIO.
DISCUSSION...LINEAR CONVECTION FROM NEAR DEL RIO TO EAST OF SAN
ANGELO HAS YET TO BECOME MORE SUBSTANTIALLY ORGANIZED THUS FAR.
CONTINUED HEATING/MOISTENING OUT AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
EVENTUALLY ALLOW FOR SOME INTENSIFICATION AND UPSCALE GROWTH TO
OCCUR. WEST OF SAN ANTONIO, DISCRETE STORMS HAVE BEEN ONGOING. GIVEN
THE VERY MOIST (70+ F DEWPOINTS) AND THE LOCALLY ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR ON THE KDFX VAD, THESE STORMS WILL POSE THE GREATEST THREAT OF
A TORNADO OR TWO AND POTENTIALLY HAIL AROUND 2 IN. OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS. WITH TIME, THE EXPECTATION REMAINS THAT A LINEAR
MCS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE EAST/SOUTHEAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
..WENDT/GLEASON.. 05/26/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...SJT...
LAT...LON 29040148 30190151 30900079 30910042 30379870 30009835
29089840 28769890 28379968 28400045 29040148
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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