809
ACUS11 KWNS 262357
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262356
KYZ000-270130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0867
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0656 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 262356Z - 270130Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ONGOING SUPERCELL STRUCTURE NOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
STANTON VICINITY SEEMS LIKELY TO WEAKEN BY AROUND 9 PM EDT.
DISCUSSION...A SUSTAINED SUPERCELL STRUCTURE HAS BEEN MAINTAINED
ALONG A MODEST ZONE OF DIFFERENTIAL SURFACE HEATING TO THE NORTH
THROUGH NORTHEAST OF STANTON KY THE PAST HOUR OR SO. DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR ALONG THIS BOUNDARY APPEARS RATHER MARGINAL, AND LOW-LEVEL
HODOGRAPHS, THOUGH EXHIBITING CLOCKWISE CURVATURE, ARE RATHER SMALL.
HOWEVER, NEAR-SURFACE BUOYANCY AND POTENTIAL UPWARD PARCEL
ACCELERATIONS PROBABLY ARE BEING AIDED BY A MOIST BOUNDARY-LAYER
WITH DEW POINTS NEAR 70F. ALTHOUGH THIS CELL HAS PROBABLY PRODUCED
ONE OR TWO WEAK TORNADOES, IT IS NOT CLEAR THAT THIS WILL CONTINUE
MUCH LONGER, AS THE BOUNDARY-LAYER BEGINS TO STABILIZE WITH SLOW
RADIATIONAL SURFACE COOLING.
..KERR/THOMPSON.. 05/26/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...
LAT...LON 38258321 38148294 37888342 37918385 38258321
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
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