892
FNUS22 KWNS 291906
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
..AFTERNOON UPDATE
AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS INTO THE HIGH PLAINS, INDUCED LEE
CYCLOGENESIS WILL TIGHTEN SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS EAST OF THE
ROCKIES. A DRYLINE WILL EMERGE AND SWEEP OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES,
DRIVING DOWNSLOPE FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE OVERALL
PATTERN WOULD OTHERWISE ENHANCE BROADER ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS IF RECENT PRECIPITATION HAD NOT MITIGATED FUEL
RECEPTIVITY. HOWEVER, VERY ISOLATED AREAS THAT DID NOT RECEIVE
APPRECIABLE RAINFALL MAY EXPERIENCE LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS AS WESTERLY 15-25 MPH WINDS AND 10-15% RH OVERSPREAD THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS LANDSCAPE.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 05/29/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0150 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AT THE START OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTH TOWARD THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL PLACE MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST
INTO CENTRAL US IN BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW, BETWEEN A PACIFIC NORTHWEST
TROUGH AND A GULF MID-LEVEL RIDGE.
DESPITE THE FAVORABLE MID-LEVEL PATTERN CONFIGURATION FOR FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS, THE OVERALL FLOW APPEARS TOO WEAK ACROSS AREAS
WITH RECEPTIVE FUELS AND FUELS APPEAR TO BE UNRECEPTIVE ACROSS AREAS
WITH STRONGER FLOW. THUS, LARGE-SCALE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS LOOK TO
BE MINIMAL ACROSS THE CONUS ON DAY-2/SATURDAY.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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