271
ACUS11 KWNS 300029
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300028
TXZ000-300130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0899
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0728 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO THE BIG BEND
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 251...
VALID 300028Z - 300130Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 251
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...ISOLATED OCCURRENCES SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND/OR LARGE HAIL
REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING.
DISCUSSION...AS OF 00:25 UTC, MOSAIC RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF
STORMS SOUTHEAST OF AMARILLO WITH A MORE ISOLATED STORM IN THE
SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE, NORTHEAST OF CHILDRESS. THE GLANCING INFLUENCE
OF A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO SOUTHWEST KS AND NORTHWEST OK MAY
BE AIDING IN THIS DEVELOPMENT AMIDST A STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT,
PER THE 00Z AMA SOUNDING. THE KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT REMAINS
FAVORABLE FOR STORM ORGANIZATION GIVEN RELATIVELY STRONG
MID/UPPER-LEVEL WINDS, WITH RECENT REPORTS OF A 70 MPH WIND GUST
NEAR MEMPHIS, AND WIND DAMAGE ALONG WITH GOLF-BALL SIZE HAIL SOUTH
OF AMARILLO. DECREASED FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH TIME IS EXPECTED TO
KEEP STORMS FAIRLY ISOLATED WITH A CONTINUED RISK FOR LARGE HAIL
AND/OR SEVERE WIND GUSTS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
FARTHER SOUTH, MORE RECENT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY EAST
OF FORT STOCKTON, WITHIN THE WESTERN EDGE OF AN INCREASINGLY MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH EASTWARD EXTENT. HERE TOO, FORCING FOR
ASCENT REMAINS NEGLIGIBLE WITH AN ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND THREAT SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE PECOS RIVER.
BETWEEN THESE TWO CONVECTIVE REGIMES, STORM INITIATION REMAINS IN
QUESTION. SHOULD IT BECOME APPARENT THAT STORMS WILL NOT DEVELOP,
THAT PORTION OF THE WATCH MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY.
..MEAD.. 05/30/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...
LAT...LON 30750356 31560290 33050255 34780245 35610217 35640002
32950001 31660024 31080072 30260096 30240180 29770174
29780234 30750356
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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