408
ACUS11 KWNS 300444
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300443
NEZ000-300615-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0902
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1143 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH-CENTRAL NEBRASKA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 300443Z - 300615Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY PERSIST
FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. A WATCH IS CURRENTLY NOT ANTICIPATED.
DISCUSSION...AS OF 04:35 UTC, KUEX RADAR INDICATED THE APEX OF A
BOWING LINE SEGMENT NEAR HOLDREGE, WITH THAT FEATURE INDICATING SOME
FORWARD-PROPAGATIONAL CHARACTERISTICS. A WIND GUST OF 67 MPH WAS
RECENTLY REPORTED NEAR OXFORD. THE DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL NE IS RELATIVELY MOIST WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S,
WHICH ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG. HOWEVER,
RAP-BASED FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND PLAN-VIEW OBJECTIVE FIELDS INDICATE
POOR LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES, WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO TEMPER THE
INTENSITY OF AND AREAL EXTENT OF ANY SEVERE WIND GUST THREAT.
NONETHELESS, THE PRESENCE OF AN ORGANIZED COLD POOL, AND RELATIVELY
STRONG STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW INTO THE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM (REF.
CURRENT KUEX VWP) MAY CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF
SEVERE WIND GUSTS FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
GIVEN THE EXPECTED AREAL COVERAGE OF THE SEVERE-WEATHER THREAT, A
WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
..MEAD/GUYER.. 05/30/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...
LAT...LON 40009975 40150012 40690016 41009991 41309909 41419861
41239829 40869819 40579822 40329849 40099883 40019929
40009975
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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