079
ACUS11 KWNS 010215
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010215
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-010415-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0927
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0915 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS
OF NEBRASKA AND IOWA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 257...
VALID 010215Z - 010415Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 257
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A LOCALIZED CORRIDOR OF HIGHER TORNADO POTENTIAL MAY
PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST SOUTH
DAKOTA INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF IOWA AND NEBRASKA.
DISCUSSION...ADDITIONAL TORNADIC SUPERCELLS HAVE EMERGED IMMEDIATELY
WEST OF THE SIOUX FALLS, SD AND THE I-29 CORRIDOR BASED ON RADAR
IMAGERY FROM KFSD. NEAR-STORM 0-1 KM SRH SAMPLED BY THE LOCAL VWP
HAS RECENTLY INCREASED TO AROUND 200 M2/S2 IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING STORMS. CONSEQUENTLY, THE NEAR-STORM ENVIRONMENT IS MORE
FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED, THOUGH STORM
INTERACTIONS APPEAR TO BE MODULATING THE DURATION OF THE TORNADO
THREAT TO SOME DEGREE. ADDITIONAL SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT IS NOTED ON
THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF THE EMERGING CLUSTER, AND IS ALREADY SHOWING
SIGNS OF AN ORGANIZING LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONE. IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT
SOME TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS -
MOST LIKELY ON THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF THE CLUSTER AS IT MIGRATES
EAST/SOUTHEAST INTO FAR NORTHEAST NE/NORTHWEST IA. BASED ON THE
NEAR-STORM ENVIRONMENT AND OBSERVED VELOCITY SIGNATURES, A STRONG
TORNADO APPEARS POSSIBLE.
..MOORE.. 06/01/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...
LAT...LON 42589728 43109709 43329697 43359662 43289611 43139602
42919595 42689607 42519629 42459661 42489704 42589728
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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